NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com)
-- Mortgage payments are set to jump.
Home prices have plunged. "I'm outta
here."
Homeowners are
abandoning their homes and, more
importantly, their mortgages, rather
than trying to keep up with rising
payments on deteriorating assets. So
many people are handing their keys back
to lenders that a new term has been
coined for it: jingle mail.
"I stopped paying my
mortgage in October, after shelling out
about $70,000 in interest [over 15
months]," said one borrower, David, who
doesn't want his last name used. "Now,
I'm just waiting for the default
notice."
The Los Angeles-based
writer bought two properties in Hancock
Park, west of downtown, using no-down,
interest-only mortgages in 2006. He paid
just over $1 million for both.
David had planned to
sell them quickly but got caught in the
slump. Soon his interest rate will jump
by a few points, and his payments will
go up by several hundred dollars a month
for each place. He figures his
properties have fallen in value by at
least $60,000 each.
Current lending
practices have created an environment
where a measure as extreme as abandoning
a home actually makes sense to some
people.
Many buyers put little
or no money down, so they don't have
much invested in them. That leaves them
with little incentive to keep making
payments when a home's market value dips
below the balance of the mortgage.
The most serious
consequence is a tremendous hit to
credit scores. For some, that's better
than throwing away money they'll never
recover by selling their home.
And while a mortgage
default can savage a person's credit
record, trying to pay off a loan they
can't afford could be worse for
borrowers if it leads to bankruptcy,
said Craig Watts, a spokesman for the
credit reporting firm Fair Isaac.
Credit scores are hurt
much more by missing multiple payments -
on credit cards, cars and so on - than
by a single foreclosure.
"The time it takes to
regain your credit score [after
foreclosure] can be shorter than after
bankruptcy," said Watts.
It typically takes
three years of a spotless payment record
after a bankruptcy before credit scores
recover enough for someone to think
about buying a home again, he said.
After abandoning a mortgage, a person
may be able to buy a new house in two
years or less.
And now skipping out
on a home is easier, thanks to the
Mortgage Debt Relief Act of 2007.
Previously, if a bank sold a foreclosed
home for less than the mortgage balance
and it forgave the difference, the
borrower had to pay tax on that
difference as if it were income. Now the
IRS will ignore it.
"That's going to help
a lot of people," said Mike Gray, a San
Jose accountant who runs the web site
Realestatetaxletter.com.
The trend of walking
away is most pronounced among real
estate investors, according to Jay
Brinkman, an economist with the Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA).
But families are doing
it too. "If they have to stretch to make
mortgage payments for a home that will
not recover its value, then yes, they
may walk away," he said.
Often they chose
hybrid adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)
that came with low initial payments.
After a few years, interest rates on
these loans reset higher. But buyers
thought they could count on the
increased value of their homes to
refinance into affordable, fixed-rate
loans.
Now, that may not be
possible. Take Susan (not her real
name), a client of HouseBuyerNetwork.com,
which specializes in arranging short
sales. A short sale is when a bank
agrees to accept the sale price paid for
a home - even if it is less than the
outstanding mortgage on it - as payment
in full. An owner might sell a house
with a $200,000 mortgage for $180,000,
and then the bank forgives the
difference.
HouseBuyerNetwork.com
CEO Duane LeGate says that Susan's
two-bedroom condo in Sonoma County is
worth $340,000, but the mortgage balance
is $380,000. She can't refinance and
it's difficult to sell.
She's still trying for
a short sale but, said LeGate, "She'll
almost certainly end up walking away."
Beyond anecdotes, some
statistics indicate that hard-pressed
owners are deliberately courting
foreclosure. An
analysis by the consumer credit rating
agency Experian last spring found
that many borrowers were choosing to pay
off credit card and other consumer debt
before making mortgage payments. They
were electing to put their mortgage at
risk rather than their credit cards or
auto loans.
Similarly, Richard
DeKaser, chief economist for National
City Corp., (NCC,
Fortune 500) notes that while all
credit metrics are deteriorating,
mortgage delinquencies are rising
disproportionately. "That makes sense if
people are choosing to walk away," he
said.
And now reports are
emerging of homeowners skipping out on
mortgages even though they can still
afford to pay them.
Wachovia (WB,
Fortune 500) CEO Ken Thompson
described these people on an earnings
call last month. "[These are] people
that have otherwise had the capacity to
pay, but have basically just decided not
to, because they feel like they've lost
equity, value in their properties."
Lenders are afraid
that borrowers may find it's worth the
hit to their credit scores, if they can
drastically reduce their housing
expenses. Someone with good credit and a
$600,000 home in a town with cratering
real estate prices could buy a similar
house nearby for $450,000, and then let
the other $600,000 mortgage go into
foreclosure.
The stage is set for
this kind of thing particularly in
California, where huge numbers of buyers
used low or no-down deals to buy homes.
The trend has even spawned at least one
new business, San Diego-based
YouWalkAway.com, which for a fee of
$1,000 purports to guide clients through
the process of ditching their mortgages.
It launched in early January, and says
it has already signed up 180 clients.
California is a bit of
a safe haven for these borrowers, since
banks that repossess and then sell a
foreclosed property for less than the
mortgage that was owed on it cannot come
after borrowers for the difference - as
long as it's the initial mortgage, one
that has not been refinanced. So if a
borrower owes $200,000 and the bank
sells the house for $170,000, the
borrower comes out of it debt-free.
And for many
homeowners, the prospect of becoming
debt-free is growing increasingly
alluring.
CNNMoney.com